We’ve gotten through a pandemic before and can do it again

Keep calm and self quarantine
Many are going a bit stir crazy with all the shut downs, extended quarantines, hand washing, and mask wearing. Just know that none of what we are doing now in response to Covid-19 is new. The last major pandemic was the 1918 Spanish Flu that left a worldwide death toll of between 50 to 100 million people; roughly 500,000 in the US alone.
 
To be clear, Covid-19 is not the flu but the last major pandemic that the world faced was an influenza pandemic. During that time, the world took the same measures; social distancing was widely practiced. There were also quarantines, school closures, and staggered business hours like today. Also at that time there were people who wanted to fight back against it and/or reopen quickly.
“In 1918, a San Francisco health officer shot three people when one refused to wear a mandatory face mask. In Arizona, police handed out $10 fines for those caught without the protective gear. But eventually, the most drastic and sweeping measures paid off.” – nationalgeographic.com How some cities ‘flattened the curve’ during the 1918 flu pandemic
Philadelphia is a prime example of reopening too quickly. St. Louis and Philly both had parades scheduled during that time but St. Louis cancelled theirs. Philly went ahead with the parade. By the end of the pandemic Philadelphia’s death toll was higher than other places that stuck to the measures that were working.
“The deaths due to the virus were estimated to be about 358 people per 100,000 in St Louis, compared to 748 per 100,000 in Philadelphia during the first six months—the deadliest period—of the pandemic.” – nationalgeographic.comHow some cities ‘flattened the curve’ during the 1918 flu pandemic
There’s no doubt that you’ve been introduced to a conspiracy theory or two about the current coronavirus pandemic. That’s not new either. The 1918 pandemic had it’s share of conspiracy theories as well.
Indeed, there were those who believed this was a “terrible new weapon of war” – as Gina Kolata, a science reporter for The New York Times, noted in her 2001 book “Flu: The Story of the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918 and the Search for the Virus that Caused It.” According to one account, the pandemic arrived via a camouflaged German ship that infiltrated Boston harbor under cover of darkness and “released the germs that seeded the city.” There was even an “eyewitness,” Kolata notes: “an old woman who said she saw a greasy-looking cloud that floated over the harbor and wafted over the docks.” – haaretz.com A Terrible New Weapon of War’: The Spanish Flu Had Its Own Share of Conspiracy Theories
Another theory, again pointing at the Germans, said that the disease was being spread through the German corporation Bayer by way of the aspirin they produced.
It’s common knowledge that covid-19 was first detected in Wuhan, China. However, an official in China maintains that the virus comes from the United States while several in the United States blame China. This type of blame game, too, isn’t knew. We call the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the Spanish flu even though it didn’t originate in Spain. During that time there was a world war going on and countries that were participating in the war had a lock-down on the type of information that it was reporting. Neutral Spain did not. So, the world came to know more about the disease from the free reporting of it by the media coming out of Spain. There’s actually evidence that the flu was in the United States before it was in Spain with some accounts pinning the origin in Haskell County, Kansas in the United States.

As in other cases of the outbreak of worrisome infectious diseases, Beiner observes, each country accused the inhabitants of a rival, unpopular country of spreading the disease.

In July 1918, the English satirical magazine Punch wrote that “Spain has rendered itself unpleasantly conspicuous by developing and exporting a new form of influenza.” But in Madrid, the disease was dubbed the “Naples Soldier” (the name of a song from a popular operetta); in Italy, it was called the “German disease”; in Germany, the “Russian plague”; in Russia, the “Chinese sickness”; and in Japan, the “American disease.” – haaretz.com A Terrible New Weapon of War’: The Spanish Flu Had Its Own Share of Conspiracy Theories

We are several months in right now but this could be a long haul. Our cities are more crowded than they were in 1918 and we are more interconnected globally, so there are more chances to spread the virus. The 1918 pandemic lasted 2 years with several waves and by some accounts petered out on it’s own (experts don’t generally point to one reason for the end or they disagree on how it ended). The flu vaccine wasn’t used until the 40s and was about 50% effective. The vaccine today isn’t 100% effective either. These days the effectiveness has been from 56% in 2010-11 to 29% in 2018-19 (according to the CDC); with the last 4 years decreasing every year 48%, 40%, 38%, 29% respectively since the 2015-16 season.  The vaccine in the 2014-15 season was only 19% effective).

 

Seasonal flu vaccine effectivness

cdc.gov CDC Seasonal Flu Vaccine Effectiveness Studies

 
So the vaccine or a medicine won’t be the cure-all. It won’t eradicate the pandemic. What does work is keeping calm as much as possible and allowing time and the measures that are being taken to be effective. It sounds like a meme but it is what worked in the past and is what is working now. Of course not everyone has the luxury of just completely going with the flow as the unemployment rate rises and expenses accumulate. For those people, try to protect your peace as much as possible.
 
What they didn’t have then that we have now are things like the Internet to stay close with friends and family by video and audio chats, virtually unlimited entertainment options from services on the Internet like Netflix, Hulu, YouTube, video games, etc., sites like Coursera and edX to learn new things, books and music on demand, and more. People have even gotten creative in coming up with ways to keep in touch with each other like birthday and drinking parties using platforms like Zoom. Yes it sucks right now and probably will for the foreseeable future but you can get through this. We can get through this.
 

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